Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 – EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. SPC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK (LINKED TO SPC DAY 2 OUTLOOK) Severe thunderstorms capable of producing several tornadoes and scattered to numerous damaging wind gusts are possible mainly Friday evening and overnight from the lower/mid Mississippi Valley into the lower Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued an ENHANCED risk of Severe Thunderstorms OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY…EXTEND EAST TOWARD THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS…
Tropical, Winter Weather, Coastal Storms, etc.). I will be taking Sundays off (family time), unless we have active systems that may be posing a threat (i.e. Please be aware, even though I do not post every night, rest assured I am continuously monitoring various areas for any significant weather. Any help you provide is immensely appreciated! To donate, please click the DONATE button to the right side of the page, or on the graphic of the dog.
#Spc outlook software
If you are not aware, donations to my site help pay for subscriptions to sites I use as well as software updates, which provide all the models and information used in my forecasts. My purpose, is to provide you the information, based solely on information I analyze, and the accuracy of the information at hand of the time of analysis, so you may make informed decisions.įor those who have donated to my site, your help has been greatly appreciated.
I CANNOT make decisions regarding travel plans, etc. In addition, this is strictly a FORECAST OFFICE. As ALWAYS, follow the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service, and your local Emergency Management officials for emergency decisions. ALL forecasts herein are the result of my analysis, (to which you will see me at times, insert excerpts from various agencies due to the nature of the importance of the information) and I am solely responsible for the content. Here are some useful fire weather web links.Disclaimer: This site is not affiliated with the National Hurricane Center, Hurricane Hunters, Storm Prediction Center, or National Weather Service. Lagged, operational (12 km grid spacing) NCEP Eta for aĮnter the date for previous fire weather outlooks
#Spc outlook plus
On postprocessing the 21 member NCEP SREF plus the 3-hour time The SPC Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) system is based
Variables based on the Eta and RUC models. Note: Critical Fire Weather Criteria document inĭay 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks ( Product Info)įorecast and observational maps for various fire weather Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Assistant/Fire Weather Forecaster Ariel Cohen describes the SPC fire weather forecast process for a meteorology class at the University of Oklahoma.Ĭurrent Fire Weather Outlooks ( Product Info)įorecast Risk of Fire Weather: No Critical Areas
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